NBA · 2026-27 · ACDT
Week of 28 Oct · Wed 28 Oct – Tue 3 Nov
Seven days, grouped by Adelaide time. Green Light is an adjusted point-differential gap of 10 or more. Yellow Light is a gap from 6 to under 10. The pick is the team with the better adjusted PD. Games under 6 are not picks.
Green 2-0, Yellow 0-0
Hits–misses. A tick means the pick team won. A cross means a miss. Pending days stay out of the tally, and final scores appear once that day's games finish.
Adjusted PD currently uses 100% of 2025-26 point differential per game, and is recomputed the day before each slate.
Adjusted PD is this season's point differential per game, blended with last season's. The blend (this season / last season) is 0/100 before any games, 30/70 after 3, 50/50 after 7, 70/30 after 10, and 80/20 from 15. Home court is league-wide only, with no team-specific edge. Band rates are historical, from five seasons (2021-22 to 2025-26), not predictions.
Green Light
Hit · BKN 124–BOS 125
10:00am ACDT
Celtics +7.70 · Nets -9.99
Historical hit rate for the 10+ band: 79%, from five seasons (2021-22 to 2025-26).
BOS on 2nd night of a back-to-back (beat CHI 134-99 on US 26 Oct); BKN rested: rest disadvantage for the pick
BOS: Derrick White probable (right hip); Devin Carter OUT (mono, no timetable per Boston Globe). BKN: Tyler Bilodeau OUT (shoulder)
Green Light
Hit · SAC 103–SAS 130
10:30am ACDT
Spurs +8.30 · Kings -10.00
Historical hit rate for the 10+ band: 79%, from five seasons (2021-22 to 2025-26).
SAS: Tobias Harris OUT (calf) vs SAC; Jayden Quaintance not cleared
SAC OUT: Keegan Murray (ankle, re-eval 10-14 days per Marc Stein), Ben Simmons (Achilles surgery), Maxime Raynaud (knee), Dylan Cardwell (calf)
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